What is in the BoC summary of deliberations
Each summary opens by naming the decision it covers and the members of Governing Council who took part. It then follows the discussion in order: the international economy, the Canadian economy and the inflation outlook, the considerations for monetary policy, and the decision.
Views are given to the council as a whole or to some of its members, never to a named person. When members disagreed, for example on the timing of a move, the summary says so and sets out the arguments on each side.
It also says what members will be watching before the next decision. For the market, that list is often the most useful part.
Why the summary can move the Canadian dollar
The Bank of Canada decides by consensus and publishes no vote count. The summary is the only official window on how close the call was.
A summary that shows members weighed a different move than the one they made, or argued for waiting, changes the odds for the next meeting. The loonie reacts to that through the expected gap between Canadian and US rates.
Most of the time the reaction is small. The summary looks back two weeks, and by then a CPI or jobs report may already have changed the picture.
How to read it against the decision
Put it next to the press release and the opening statement of the press conference. What counts is what the summary adds: an option that was discussed, a risk that weighed more than the release suggested, or a range of views on timing.
Look closely at the words about the next step. A general line about being ready to adjust the rate if the outlook changes is standard; a list of specific things members want to see is a clearer signal.
It lands at 13:30 Ottawa time, in the European evening, so most of the reaction plays out in North American trading.
What the Canadian dollar did on the last release days
Measured on our own prices: the Canadian dollar against the basket of the eight majors, from the London opening before the release to the one after it, so the release sits inside the window. Anything else that came out between those two openings is in it too, so a day with more news says less about this release alone.
| Release | Amsterdam | Measured | CAD vs basket |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026 | 19:30 | 16 Sept to 17 Sept | +0.05% |
For scale: on an ordinary day the Canadian dollar moves 0.16% against the basket from one London opening to the next, either way, on average over the 250 trading days since 14 Oct 2025.
The forecast, the figure itself and what it changed in our view of the currency are in the app, next to the research.