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Canada jobs report: the Labour Force Survey and the Canadian dollar

The Canada jobs report is Statistics Canada's Labour Force Survey, the monthly count of how many Canadians have work, how many are looking and what employees earn. It feeds into the Bank of Canada's rate decisions, and a surprise in jobs or in the unemployment rate moves the Canadian dollar within minutes.

By Mike. Explanation updated 2 Oct 2026; the dates and moves below update with the research.

Canada jobs report in short

Next release
Not on our calendar yet. It appears once the date is confirmed.
Published by
Statistics Canada
When
Monthly, usually on a Friday early in the month, at 8:30 in the morning Ottawa time. That is 14:30 in Amsterdam for most of the year, and 13:30 in the few weeks when Canada and Europe have changed their clocks on different dates. It can land on the same morning, at the same minute, as the US jobs report.
Impact
High: one of the releases that can move the currency on its own
The line read first
The change in employment and the unemployment rate, against the forecast
Also watched
Average hourly wages of employees, on the year
Covers
One reference week in the month before, usually the week with the 15th in it
Sample
About 65,000 households a month

What is in the Canada jobs report

The Labour Force Survey asks about 65,000 households each month about the work of everyone aged 15 and over. It covers one reference week, usually the week that holds the 15th of the month, and leaves out people living on reserves, full-time members of the armed forces and people in institutions.

From those answers Statistics Canada estimates employment, unemployment, the unemployment rate and the employment rate. It also reports hours worked, the average hourly wages of employees, and the change in jobs by industry and by province.

Results come out about ten working days after the survey closes. That makes it one of the earliest official reads on any given month.

Why the Canada jobs report moves the Canadian dollar

A strong labour market lets households keep spending and puts pressure on wages, and both feed inflation. More jobs than expected makes a higher Bank of Canada rate, or fewer cuts, more likely, and the loonie usually firms.

The unemployment rate often matters more than the jobs count. It shows how much spare capacity there is in the labour market, which is what a central bank weighs when it thinks about inflation ahead.

When the Canadian and US reports come out on the same morning, USD/CAD gets two shocks at once. The move then depends on which country surprised more.

How to read the Canada jobs report against the forecast

Start with the unemployment rate and the jobs change against the forecast. Then look at where the change came from: a gain spread over many industries says more than one carried by a single sector.

Statistics Canada tests its monthly changes at a 68% confidence level, a low bar, and says monthly estimates can show more variability than the trend. A big surprise in one month can be partly undone the next.

Wages are the third line. Faster growth in average hourly wages points to inflation pressure, but the average also depends on who is in work, so a month in which many low-paid jobs are lost can push it up.

What the Canadian dollar did on the last release days

Our calendar keeps the exact time of each release since 16 September 2026. The first Canada jobs report after that date will show here with the Canadian dollar's move around it.

For scale: on an ordinary day the Canadian dollar moves 0.16% against the basket from one London opening to the next, either way, on average over the 250 trading days since 14 Oct 2025.

The forecast, the figure itself and what it changed in our view of the currency are in the app, next to the research.

Questions about Canada jobs report

What time is the Canada jobs report released?

At 8:30 in the morning Ottawa time, usually on a Friday early in the month. In Amsterdam that is 14:30 for most of the year and 13:30 in the weeks when Canada and Europe change their clocks on different dates.

Is the Canada jobs report released on the same day as US non-farm payrolls?

Sometimes. Both come out at 8:30 Eastern time, and when they share a morning the Canadian dollar has to absorb both at once. In other months they fall on different days.

What is the Labour Force Survey?

It is Statistics Canada's monthly household survey of work, and the source of Canada's employment and unemployment figures. It reaches about 65,000 households and covers one reference week, usually the one with the 15th of the month.

Why is the Canada jobs report so volatile?

Because it is a sample survey. A monthly change has to be large to stand out from sampling noise, and Statistics Canada itself says monthly estimates can show more variability than the trend over longer periods.

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